The Linear Function as a Tool

If a linear model is appropriate for the situation we are trying to analyze, there are several mathematical techniques that may be of interest.

  • Extrapolation
  • Interpolation
  • Regression or Fitting

Extrapolation

Extrapolation is the use of a linear model to make a prediction. Usually, our linear model is valid over a certain range. In an extrapolation, we assume the model is valid beyond that range and ask what our model would predict.

There are two approaches to extrapolation

  • doing a calculation based on the slope and an existing data point
  • using a ruler or other visual aid on a graph to estimate

Interpolation

Interpolation is the use of a linear model to make a prediction. If we have data on both sides of our region of interest, we can make predictions in between.

Linear Fits or Regression

  • If we have a bunch of data that is roughly linear, we can use a linear function as a model
  • The process of finding this linear model from the data is called regression or fitting

Linear Extrapolation

  • If we assume a relationship, we can predict its value in the future

Extrapolation Formula

It is helpful to be able to see how the pieces of the extrapolation formula correspond to a visual picture.

  • Find the slope of the known portion of the graph so you have the relationship between x and y.
  • You are calculating the distance on the x-axis between your last known data and the point you want to compute. This will be the run in a slope triangle.
  • Multiplying this x-distance by the slope will give you the rise in a slope triangle.
  • Adding this to the last known y-value will give you the corresponding value of y for the x you chose.

Mauna Loa Data